Friday, September 18, 2009
Saturday Night Upset Alert
Saturday's upset alert. It's never easy to take an underdog in football let alone college football because it's habit for the public to take the favorite; it's easier to watch a team win. Fact is the underdogs cover more often than not. That is why sports book are so profitable.
This week's Hacksaw upset of the week is going to happen in Provo, Utah. Two weeks ago BYU rolled into Dallas, Texas and played a fundamentally sound game defeating Oklahoma on a last minute touchdown. Oklahoma played the entire second half without their Heisman winning starting quarterback Sam Bradford taking away some of the shock factor from the Cougars win. Two weeks ago on Labor Day night Florida State played an epic battle against in state rival the Miami Hurricanes. In the game it came down to a dropped Christian Ponder pass in the end zone that saved the Hurricane victory. That victory has propelled the Canes to the talk of the college football world. What if the final pass had been completed would we all be talking about the Seminoles?
Florida State played a horrible game this past week against Jacksonville State to eek out a victory at home thus inflating the 8 point spread in this weeks game at BetOnline. Don't expect the Noles to fly into Provo kiss the feet of the Cougars and leave with a loss.
There is a reason veterans coaches Bobby Bowden and defensive coordinator have spoken publicly and confidently about their teams defense. The players can flat out fly as they showed against Miami. Sure they gave up 30 plus points but this was the Canes they were playing and what we have seen from Miami, they can play, they can score, and they got a great quarterback leading the team. As good as the Canes are they were one dropped pass away from getting beat by Florida State. The Florida State offense is also just as talented as the defense. We would all be talking about Christian Ponder had his receiver held onto the ball on that final play against Miami rather than Jacory Harris.
Florida State will not be sleepwalking this week going on the road to play a top ten team.
The difference in this game will come down to team speed. The Noles can play physical defense but historically what gives the Cougars problems is teams with great team speed and the Noles have the speed. Bowden coached teams tend to come back with a vengeance coming off of bad games. They play tough on the road against top ten opponents. They are tough on non-conference teams outside the state of Florida. They have a burial ground outside of Doak Campbell Stadium with the turf off their conquered foes so they love to win these types of games on the road so the game should be close, certainly not an eight point difference.
In a match-up the quarterbacks are a draw, Christian Ponder outplayed Jacory Harris of Miami in their big game this year and is just as good as Max Hall. On defense the Noles have a decided speed advantage which will be the difference as FSU will take advantage with turnovers on the road to pull the upset.
Click here and take the points and the Noles in Provo at bet online.
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